Jeph Picks: How We Pick
Team Rankings and Records
- We use statistical team rankings across multiple categories to see where teams stand in the current season
- We look at how these teams are trending in the rankings over the season compared to their pre-season prediction
- Beyond just wins and losses, we check how teams perform at home and on the road, look for any trends that might indicate an advantage in one direction, and review head-to-head records or series records – is it a major rivalry game or two teams that are not familiar with one another
Stats, stats, stats
- We analyze offensive and defensive numbers, pinpoint how star players are performing, and use advanced metrics for analysis
Team Flow
- Injuries, player returns, travel, coach conflicts and even the grind of a team’s schedule can sway games. We account for these factors to predict how a team might show up on game day -or- not show up
Betting Markets
- We watch the betting odds move, giving us n idea about where the smart money is going or has gone. By comparing public action with those from professional bettors, we identify where there might be value in a particular matchup
Making the Pick
- We combine all these elements into a prediction. We assess the risk, reward and expected value, aiming for picks that not only have a chance to win but also offer positive returns
Inspect and Adapt
- After every game, we review our picks. This ongoing analysis helps us refine our strategy, ensuring we’re always getting better at the process
At JephPicks, we’re not just about giving you picks; we’re about giving you smart, informed picks. We blend data, trends, some intuition and experience to guide your betting decisions towards profit.